Today President Yoweri Museveni was nominated to run for an eighth term of office. When he wins this election, it will take him to 40 years as president, a remarkable feat. His efforts to cling to power, in spite of many promises not to, tells us very little about Museveni the man but a lot about power itself: few men find it possible to leave it easily and willingly.
Bobi Wine is being presented to us domestically and internationally as the symbol of our struggle for democracy, freedom, liberty and social transformation. Even some of our “intellectuals” are treating him as an alternative to President Yoweri Museveni. This is the pathway to disaster.
How economic success has tended to create more political trouble for Museveni than comfort
Very many Ugandans are angry, very angry. They feel the country has lost direction. They argue that our politics is corrupted, our democracy in retreat, and elections are rigged. They say the economy is not growing, poverty is increasing, inequality is widening, and state capacity to deliver public goods and services has been grossly eroded. Yet the opposite is the case on almost all these issues.
In 2005, I wrote to then commissioner general of Uganda Revenue Authority (URA), Allen Kagina, asking how many motor vehicles they register on average per month. She replied giving me a figure of 2800.
Last year (2016), the average number of motor vehicles being registered was 12,000 per month – an increase of 330%. Meanwhile the population in 2005 was 29m. Now it is 38m, a growth of 33%. Continue reading Gedanken (Thought Experiment)→
February 23, 2017: The Crisis In Uganda’s Agriculture
According to a government report, eleven million Ugandans are facing food shortages (famine) and need relief food to save them from potential starvation. Our country has suffered a drought. This has been followed by famine.
Priscilla and I got into Birmingham tonight and got to meet Anthony Ray Hinton. He spent 30 years in prison on death row for a crime he didn’t commit, and was exonerated and released only a couple years ago.
The radical extremist faction of FDC led by opposition presidential candidate for life, Kizza Besigye, is already pushing that party towards an open split. High profile politicians are finally finding their voice to stand up against intolerance and blackmail by this group.
Is it possible for an opposition candidate to win the presidency when the combined opposition gets only 15% of the seats in parliament? How do we predict this? The only laboratory of human experience is history.
Are there countries in post colonial Africa where an opposition candidate won the presidency while the combined opposition lost parliament by a very big margin?